AC Milan (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 Feb 2024

AC Milan (K)
2-2 HT 2-1
Fiorentina (K)
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2023/2024

AC Milan (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AC Milan (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+150% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

AC Milan (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
2-2
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.34 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
239 Passes 223
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) and Fiorentina (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 49%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.34 to 1.02.

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

AC Milan (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 38%, draw 27%, Fiorentina (K) 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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