Inter Milano (K) 2-3 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-17.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.01/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.13
-70% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -54%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
496 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
27.0 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
2-3
AWAY Como (K)
2.37 xG 1.23
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 Passes 161
77% Pass Accuracy 60%
42 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) nicked a narrow win over Inter Milano (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Milano (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 63% of the ball to Como (K)'s 37%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.37 to 1.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Como (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 2-3 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 54%, draw 23%, Como (K) 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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