Altglienicke 3-2 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
2.08/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.83
-3% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
543 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-4 HT 0-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-1 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
08.05.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-3 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
19.11.2021 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
3-2
AWAY Luckenwalde
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke nicked a narrow win over Luckenwalde 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Altglienicke as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Altglienicke had 50% of the ball to Luckenwalde's 50%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altglienicke had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Altglienicke and 0.80 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?

Altglienicke 3-2 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 53%, draw 20%, Luckenwalde 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altglienicke), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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