Eilenburg 2-4 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.98/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.56
+42% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
19.03.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
19.09.2021 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eilenburg
2-4
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig got the better of Eilenburg 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Lokomotive Leipzig made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Eilenburg had 49% of the ball to Lokomotive Leipzig's 51%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eilenburg and 1.33 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Eilenburg 2-4 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 34%, draw 26%, Lokomotive Leipzig 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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