Mainz 05 U19 2-2 Ingolstadt U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
32%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
67%
-23.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
12%
+20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt U19 EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05 U19
2-2
AWAY Ingolstadt U19
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 U19 vs Ingolstadt U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 U19 and Ingolstadt U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mainz 05 U19 had 43% of the ball to Ingolstadt U19's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Mainz 05 U19 2-2 Ingolstadt U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 U19 43%, draw 25%, Ingolstadt U19 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Mainz 05 U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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