Osnabrück U19 2-2 St. Pauli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
34%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück U19 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück U19
2-2
AWAY St. Pauli U19
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Osnabrück U19 vs St. Pauli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück U19 and St. Pauli U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Osnabrück U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osnabrück U19 had 34% of the ball to St. Pauli U19's 66%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Osnabrück U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Osnabrück U19 2-2 St. Pauli U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück U19 59%, draw 27%, St. Pauli U19 14%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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