Sabah 1-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 Feb 2024

Sabah
1-1 HT 1-1
Turan Tovuz
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sabah vs Turan Tovuz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sabah v Turan Tovuz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.17/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.83
-26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Sabah vs Turan Tovuz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-3 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
01.09.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-2 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
19.02.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-2 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
29.11.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
16.09.2022 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 2-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Turan Tovuz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sabah and 1.33 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Turan Tovuz?

Sabah 1-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sabah 48%, draw 27%, Turan Tovuz 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
3 Feb 2024
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