Al Hamriyah 1-1 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 57%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.34/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.32/2.31
-73% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Dhafra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2 Corners 4
16.09.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hamriyah
1-1
AWAY Al Dhafra
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah and Al Dhafra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Dhafra at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Hamriyah had 43% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 57%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra?

Al Hamriyah 1-1 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 25%, draw 28%, Al Dhafra 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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