Arabi 2-1 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.79/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.79
+10% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Gulf Heroes
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Arabi 2-2 HT 1-1 Gulf Heroes BAECK
16.09.2023 Gulf Heroes 0-2 HT 0-2 Arabi BAE2
08.01.2023 Gulf Heroes 1-2 HT 1-2 Arabi BAE2
12.02.2022 Arabi 4-1 HT 1-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
30.10.2021 Gulf Heroes 0-1 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
2-1
AWAY Gulf Heroes
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi edged past Gulf Heroes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Arabi had 56% of the ball to Gulf Heroes's 44%, shots finished 3-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Arabi and 0.80 for Gulf Heroes.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Gulf Heroes?

Arabi 2-1 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arabi 47%, draw 24%, Gulf Heroes 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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