Arjantin U23 3-3 Uruguay U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin U23
3-3
AWAY Uruguay U23
1.53 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 3
245 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arjantin U23 vs Uruguay U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U23 and Uruguay U23 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arjantin U23 had 46% of the ball to Uruguay U23's 54%, shots finished 18-23, expected goals 1.53 to 2.01.

What was the final score of Arjantin U23 vs Uruguay U23?

Arjantin U23 3-3 Uruguay U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin U23 vs Uruguay U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arjantin U23 41%, draw 23%, Uruguay U23 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arjantin U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arjantin U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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