Nantes vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nantes v Lens — Team-Based Signals
Nantes vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Nantes
FR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lens
FRK
3-1
HT 2-1
Nantes
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Lens
FR1
2-2
HT 0-2
Nantes
FR1
3-2
HT 0-2
Lens
FR1
Nantes 0-1 Lens — Actual Match Statistics
Lens edged past Nantes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Nantes had 42% of the ball to Lens's 58%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.62 to 1.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nantes and 2.00 for Lens.
What was the final score of Nantes vs Lens?
Nantes 0-1 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nantes vs Lens?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nantes 33%, draw 27%, Lens 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.