03/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Hyeres vs Thonon Evian Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No Pick
65%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
43%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
56%
Home Win
58%
24%
Draw
24%
21%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hyeres v Thonon Evian — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hyeres
The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Thonon Evian
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
383 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
266 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hyeres vs Thonon Evian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hyeres nicked a narrow win over Thonon Evian 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hyeres as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Hyeres vs Thonon Evian?
Hyeres 1-0 Thonon Evian in the France - National League 2 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hyeres vs Thonon Evian?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hyeres win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hyeres 56%, draw 24%, Thonon Evian 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hyeres), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Hyeres)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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3 Feb 2024