Toulouse II 1-2 Toulon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 2, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse II The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulon The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse II
1-2
AWAY Toulon
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Toulouse II vs Toulon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulon squeezed past Toulouse II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Toulouse II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Toulouse II had 37% of the ball to Toulon's 63%, shots finished 10-20.

What was the final score of Toulouse II vs Toulon?

Toulouse II 1-2 Toulon in the France - National League 2 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse II vs Toulon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Toulouse II 43%, draw 24%, Toulon 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toulouse II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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