Dijon (K) 1-0 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
39%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 27.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
1-0
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.96 xG 0.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 9
223 Passes 337
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) edged past Montpellier (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 43% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 57%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.62.

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Dijon (K) 1-0 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 22%, draw 28%, Montpellier (K) 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK1 More France - Women's 1st Divisioni
3 Feb 2024
15:00 Le Havre (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K) Analysis →
16:30 Bordeaux (K) vs Guingamp (K) Analysis →
16:30 Lyon (K) vs Stade de Reims (K) Analysis →