Le Havre (K) 4-2 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre (K)
4-2
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.93 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
429 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 8
2 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) saw off Saint-Étienne (K) 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Le Havre (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Havre (K) had 51% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 49%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.93 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Le Havre (K) 4-2 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 46%, draw 25%, Saint-Étienne (K) 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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