03/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Chatellerault vs Vierzon FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
49%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
71%
26%
Draw
16%
25%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chatellerault v Vierzon FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chatellerault
The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vierzon FC
The Market 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
409 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
342 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chatellerault vs Vierzon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chatellerault squeezed past Vierzon FC 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chatellerault as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Chatellerault vs Vierzon FC?
Chatellerault 1-0 Vierzon FC in the France - National League 3 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chatellerault vs Vierzon FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chatellerault win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chatellerault 49%, draw 26%, Vierzon FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chatellerault), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chatellerault)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
3 Feb 2024