03/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Olympique de Valence vs Lyon-Duchere Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
42%
27%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olympique de Valence v Lyon-Duchere — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Olympique de Valence
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lyon-Duchere
The Market 37%
-52% /
-52%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-27%
/
-31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
361 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
340 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Olympique de Valence vs Lyon-Duchere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lyon-Duchere edged past Olympique de Valence 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lyon-Duchere found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Olympique de Valence vs Lyon-Duchere?
Olympique de Valence 1-2 Lyon-Duchere in the France - National League 3 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olympique de Valence vs Lyon-Duchere?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon-Duchere win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Olympique de Valence 35%, draw 27%, Lyon-Duchere 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon-Duchere) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lyon-Duchere)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
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