03/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Poitiers FC vs Bourges Moulon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
32%
28%
Draw
27%
36%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Poitiers FC v Bourges Moulon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Poitiers FC
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bourges Moulon
The Market 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+9%
/
+33%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
347 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
363 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Poitiers FC vs Bourges Moulon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bourges Moulon beat Poitiers FC 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bourges Moulon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Poitiers FC vs Bourges Moulon?
Poitiers FC 1-3 Bourges Moulon in the France - National League 3 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Poitiers FC vs Bourges Moulon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Poitiers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Poitiers FC 37%, draw 28%, Bourges Moulon 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Poitiers FC) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Poitiers FC)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
3 Feb 2024