03/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Pontarlier vs Gueugnon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
44%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
79%
27%
Draw
14%
19%
Away Win
8%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pontarlier v Gueugnon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pontarlier
The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gueugnon
The Market 11%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-28% /
-28%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
-24%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
336 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pontarlier vs Gueugnon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pontarlier swept aside Gueugnon 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontarlier as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Pontarlier vs Gueugnon?
Pontarlier 4-1 Gueugnon in the France - National League 3 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pontarlier vs Gueugnon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pontarlier win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pontarlier 54%, draw 27%, Gueugnon 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontarlier), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Pontarlier)
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
3 Feb 2024