03/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Dziugas Telsiai vs Babrungas Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
28%
Draw
28%
30%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dziugas Telsiai v Babrungas — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dziugas Telsiai
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Babrungas
EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
361 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dziugas Telsiai vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dziugas Telsiai beat Babrungas 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Dziugas Telsiai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Babrungas?
Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 Babrungas in the Friendlies on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Babrungas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dziugas Telsiai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 42%, draw 28%, Babrungas 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai)
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
3 Feb 2024