Osijek 1-1 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
4.23
6+ Goals
7%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 36% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +23%
1.01/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.90
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.6 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.79 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
22.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-2 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
13.05.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
12.03.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.03.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIRK
05.11.2022 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-1 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
1-1
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.00 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
290 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek and Hajduk Split shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Osijek had 52% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 48%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.00 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osijek and 1.83 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Hajduk Split?

Osijek 1-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Osijek 34%, draw 32%, Hajduk Split 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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