Slaven Belupo 4-0 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.96
6+ Goals
6%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.99
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
475 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 67%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
27.6 Crosses 9.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rudes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 270
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2023 Rudes Rudes 3-1 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIRK
20.10.2023 Rudes Rudes 0-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.08.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-2 HT 1-1 Rudes Rudes HIR
28.02.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIRK
20.05.2019 Rudes Rudes 0-1 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
28.03.2019 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 2-1 Rudes Rudes HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
4-0
AWAY Rudes
1.46 xG 0.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
268 Passes 296
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo ran out comfortable winners over Rudes 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slaven Belupo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 48% of the ball to Rudes's 52%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.46 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.00 for Rudes.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Rudes?

Slaven Belupo 4-0 Rudes in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 49%, draw 28%, Rudes 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slaven Belupo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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