Nzoia United 0-1 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nzoia United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nzoia United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Posta Rangers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
06.10.2023 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Nzoia United Nzoia United KEN
06.11.2021 Nzoia United Nzoia United 0-3 HT 0-1 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
POST-MATCH Nzoia United vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posta Rangers nicked a narrow win over Nzoia United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nzoia United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Posta Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nzoia United and 2.50 for Posta Rangers.

What was the final score of Nzoia United vs Posta Rangers?

Nzoia United 0-1 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nzoia United vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nzoia United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nzoia United 47%, draw 27%, Posta Rangers 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nzoia United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nzoia United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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