Police 3-1 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.43
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.1pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +91%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gor Mahia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2021 Police Police 1-1 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police
3-1
AWAY Gor Mahia
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Police vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police beat Gor Mahia 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Police had 52% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 48%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Police vs Gor Mahia?

Police 3-1 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Police 48%, draw 30%, Gor Mahia 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Police) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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