Queretaro 1-3 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 3 Feb 2024

Queretaro
1-3 HT 1-3
Cruz Azul
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.69
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
5%
11.9
X/1
14%
6.84
X/2
11%
5.17
X/X
18%
4.2
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
19%
3.12
2/X
9%
11.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-9.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queretaro v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.26
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
19.4 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-3 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
30.03.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 2-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
28.08.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
22.04.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
20.09.2021 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
31.01.2021 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 4-1 HT 3-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK

Queretaro 1-3 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-3
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.88 xG 2.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
211 Passes 439
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul saw off Queretaro 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Queretaro had 37% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 63%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.88 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queretaro and 2.00 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?

Queretaro 1-3 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 30%, draw 32%, Cruz Azul 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Under 2.5
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