Birkirkara 1-2 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

Birkirkara
1-2 HT 0-1
Floriana
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2023/2024

Birkirkara vs Floriana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birkirkara v Floriana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.51/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.42
-45% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +129%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Birkirkara vs Floriana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Floriana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
21.01.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
03.09.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.04.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
18.04.2022 Floriana Floriana 3-1 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTAK
23.01.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 1-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP

Birkirkara 1-2 Floriana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
1-2
AWAY Floriana
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana nicked a narrow win over Birkirkara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birkirkara had 50% of the ball to Floriana's 50%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Birkirkara and 1.17 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Birkirkara 1-2 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 29%, draw 27%, Floriana 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
3 Feb 2024
16:00 Valletta vs Sliema Wanderers Analysis →
18:15 Mosta vs Sirens Analysis →
18:15 Marsaxlokk FC vs Gudja United Analysis →