Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Gudja United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Gudja United EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.72/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.84
+70% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Gudja United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Gudja United Gudja United 1-1 HT 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
18.02.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
17.10.2022 Gudja United Gudja United 1-2 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2-1
AWAY Gudja United
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Gudja United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC edged past Gudja United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 55% of the ball to Gudja United's 45%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 1.00 for Gudja United.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Gudja United?

Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Gudja United in the Malta - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Gudja United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 57%, draw 24%, Gudja United 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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