Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Penafiel
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
UD Oliveirense
POR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Penafiel
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
UD Oliveirense
POR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
Penafiel 1-1 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel and UD Oliveirense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Penafiel at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Penafiel had 46% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 54%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.97 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penafiel and 1.50 for UD Oliveirense.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense?
Penafiel 1-1 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 47%, draw 28%, UD Oliveirense 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penafiel), BTTS No went the other way.