Porto 0-0 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

Porto
0-0 HT 0-0
Rio Ave
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.48
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
23.85
X/1
24%
3.32
X/2
6%
20.3
X/X
7%
7.59
2/1
6%
23.45
2/2
7%
16.6
2/X
9%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-15.3pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.7pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porto v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
2.42/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.09
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +1%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 68%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
21.2 Crosses 11.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Porto vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.20 xG 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
412 Passes 208
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-2 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
18.02.2023 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
28.08.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-1 HT 3-0 Porto Porto POR
16.12.2021 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave PORLC
15.05.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-3 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
01.02.2021 Porto Porto 2-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR

Porto 0-0 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
0-0
AWAY Rio Ave
1.70 xG 0.24
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
23 Corners 0
495 Passes 158
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
75 Box Touches 7
38 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Porto vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto and Rio Ave played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Porto carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Porto had 72% of the ball to Rio Ave's 28%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.70 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Porto and 0.67 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Porto vs Rio Ave?

Porto 0-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Porto 60%, draw 24%, Rio Ave 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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