Kiyovu Sports 1-1 Gasogi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 3 Feb 2024

Kiyovu Sports
1-1 HT 1-1
Gasogi United
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ruanda - National Futbol League – 2023/2024

Kiyovu Sports vs Gasogi United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
16.01
Draw
26%
6.26
Away
49%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
50%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
3%
+22.1pp
26%
Draw
12%
+13.5pp
49%
Away Win
84%
-35.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kiyovu Sports v Gasogi United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiyovu Sports The Market 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Gasogi United The Market 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
197 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Kiyovu Sports vs Gasogi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiyovu Sports and Gasogi United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gasogi United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Kiyovu Sports vs Gasogi United?

Kiyovu Sports 1-1 Gasogi United in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiyovu Sports vs Gasogi United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gasogi United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kiyovu Sports 25%, draw 26%, Gasogi United 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gasogi United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gasogi United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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