03/02/2024
·
16:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Suqoor vs Afief Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Al Suqoor win — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
56%
23%
Draw
25%
24%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Suqoor v Afief — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Suqoor
The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Afief
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
413 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
256 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Suqoor vs Afief
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Suqoor saw off Afief 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Suqoor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Al Suqoor vs Afief?
Al Suqoor 3-1 Afief in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Suqoor vs Afief?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Suqoor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Suqoor 54%, draw 23%, Afief 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Suqoor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Suqoor)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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