03/02/2024
·
15:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al Taqdom vs Al-Rayyan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
52%
Home Win
72%
29%
Draw
17%
19%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Taqdom v Al-Rayyan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Taqdom
The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Rayyan
The Market 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+95% /
+95%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
409 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Taqdom vs Al-Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Taqdom and Al-Rayyan shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Al Taqdom at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Taqdom vs Al-Rayyan?
Al Taqdom 1-1 Al-Rayyan in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Taqdom vs Al-Rayyan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taqdom win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Taqdom 52%, draw 29%, Al-Rayyan 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Taqdom) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Taqdom)
✓ Under 2.5
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SUUD2
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3 Feb 2024