Kengold 2-2 Mbeya City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.46
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
34%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
26%
+14.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
35%
Away Win
53%
-18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kengold The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbeya City The Market 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kengold vs Mbeya City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kengold and Mbeya City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kengold vs Mbeya City?

Kengold 2-2 Mbeya City in the Tanzanya - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kengold vs Mbeya City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kengold win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kengold 40%, draw 26%, Mbeya City 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kengold) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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