03/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Mbuni vs Tma FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
46%
33%
Draw
30%
22%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbuni v Tma FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mbuni
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tma FC
The Market 28%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
243 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mbuni vs Tma FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mbuni and Tma FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Mbuni at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Mbuni vs Tma FC?
Mbuni 1-1 Tma FC in the Tanzanya - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbuni vs Tma FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mbuni win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mbuni 45%, draw 33%, Tma FC 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mbuni) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Mbuni)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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TAN1L
More Tanzanya - 1st Division
3 Feb 2024