Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello
2-2 HT 1-1
Carabobo
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.8pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Carabobo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
0.84/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.59
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.1 Crosses 24.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Carabobo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.61 xG 0.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
250 Passes 376
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.03.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.07.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.05.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
18.10.2021 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-0 HT 2-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
28.08.2021 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 Carabobo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-2
AWAY Carabobo
1.21 xG 1.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
239 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello and Carabobo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 49% of the ball to Carabobo's 51%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.21 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.33 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 35%, draw 32%, Carabobo 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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