Rayo Zuliano 3-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
2.21/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.04
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.2 Crosses 13.4
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 0.45
42% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
245 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.08.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
20.03.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
3-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.84 xG 0.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 230
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano saw off Portuguesa FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Rayo Zuliano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 57% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 43%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.00 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC?

Rayo Zuliano 3-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 38%, draw 31%, Portuguesa FC 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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