Santa Cruz 0-2 Curico Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Curico Unido EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
0-2
AWAY Curico Unido
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Curico Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curico Unido beat Santa Cruz 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Curico Unido found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 51% of the ball to Curico Unido's 49%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Curico Unido?

Santa Cruz 0-2 Curico Unido in the Chile - Cup on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Curico Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 35%, draw 31%, Curico Unido 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Cruz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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