Universidad Chile 0-1 Magallanes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.23
Over 2.5
42%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.9pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.6pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Magallanes EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.33/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.77
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
35.2 Crosses 16.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Magallanes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
328 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2023 Magallanes Magallanes 2-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
11.02.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 1-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
0-1
AWAY Magallanes
66% Ball Possession 34%
32 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Magallanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magallanes edged past Universidad Chile 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 66% of the ball to Magallanes's 34%, shots finished 32-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.50 for Magallanes.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Magallanes?

Universidad Chile 0-1 Magallanes in the Chile - Cup on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Magallanes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 48%, draw 30%, Magallanes 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Universidad Chile) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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