Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2.0
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.75
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.0
X/1
17%
5.03
X/2
14%
5.5
X/X
23%
3.49
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.51
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.8pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.15/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
-15% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.1 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 0.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
239 Passes 280
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
17.03.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
29.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
12.04.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
14.05.2006 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
10.12.2005 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-2 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2-0
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.83 xG 0.14
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
127 Passes 235
61% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba beat Velez Sarsfield 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Instituto Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 39% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 61%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.83 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.00 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 36%, draw 35%, Velez Sarsfield 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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