Newells Old Boys 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
20%
4.0
X/2
7%
9.46
X/X
12%
4.04
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
11%
8.56
2/X
9%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.37/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.59
-6% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
22.0 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.90 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 301
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2022 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
04.08.2022 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-4 HT 2-2 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJK
21.10.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
22.09.2019 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
26.11.2018 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
22.04.2017 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-3 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
1-0
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
0.68 xG 0.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
275 Passes 319
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys edged past Atletico Aldosivi 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newells Old Boys as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 47% of the ball to Atletico Aldosivi's 53%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.68 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newells Old Boys and 0.67 for Atletico Aldosivi.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Newells Old Boys 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 51%, draw 26%, Atletico Aldosivi 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newells Old Boys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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