Kwara United 2-0 El Kanemi Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+16.2pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.43/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/2.49
-12% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -43%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 131 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwara United
2-0
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United saw off El Kanemi Warriors 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Kwara United had 57% of the ball to El Kanemi Warriors's 43%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Kwara United 2-0 El Kanemi Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 53%, draw 27%, El Kanemi Warriors 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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