03/02/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Bendel Insurance vs Katsina United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
33%
Draw
26%
12%
Away Win
12%
50%
BTTS Yes
27%
50%
BTTS No
73%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bendel Insurance v Katsina United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bendel Insurance
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Katsina United
EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-10%
1.51/0.34
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.26/1.53
-7%
/
+81%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-57%
/
+4%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
259 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
287 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.9
Bendel Insurance vs Katsina United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bendel Insurance
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Katsina United
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bendel Insurance vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bendel Insurance squeezed past Katsina United 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Katsina United?
Bendel Insurance 1-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Katsina United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 55%, draw 33%, Katsina United 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance)
✓ Under 2.5
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3 Feb 2025