Moreirense 1-2 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

Moreirense
1-2 HT 1-0
Sporting Braga
📅03/02/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Moreirense vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreirense v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.04/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.70
-22% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.2 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Moreirense vs Sporting Braga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting Braga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.38 xG 1.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 446
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
04.02.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
09.09.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 2-3 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
10.11.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POK
30.01.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
20.08.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR

Moreirense 1-2 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
1-2
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.86 xG 1.05
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
293 Passes 522
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Moreirense vs Sporting Braga
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sporting Braga edged past Moreirense 2-1 away from home in the Portugal - Premier League on 3 Feb 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Moreirense had 38% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 62%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.86 to 1.05.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreirense and 2.33 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Sporting Braga?

Moreirense 1-2 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 30%, draw 29%, Sporting Braga 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Under 2.5
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