Sporting Braga 3-1 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
21%
3.86
X/2
13%
8.96
X/X
14%
5.17
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
10%
7.08
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
2.01/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.41
+14% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.0 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Moreirense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
09.09.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 2-3 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
10.11.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POK
30.01.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
20.08.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
14.05.2021 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
3-1
AWAY Moreirense
1.68 xG 2.43
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
513 Passes 234
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Sporting Braga vs Moreirense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sporting Braga beat Moreirense 3-1 in the Portugal - Premier League on 25 Aug 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Braga had 67% of the ball to Moreirense's 33%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.68 to 2.43.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga have the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Braga and 1.00 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Moreirense?

Sporting Braga 3-1 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 44%, draw 27%, Moreirense 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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