Bury Town 1-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bury Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +21%
1.44/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.41
-5% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Bury Town vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bury Town and Leiston couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Bury Town vs Leiston?

Bury Town 1-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bury Town vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bury Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bury Town 38%, draw 26%, Leiston 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bury Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bury Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
3 Feb 2026
22:45 Rylands vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
22:45 Cleethorpes Town vs Warrington Town Analysis →
22:45 Guiseley vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →
22:45 Yate Town vs Hungerford Town Analysis →
22:45 Quorn vs Stamford Analysis →
22:45 Needham Market vs AFC Sudbury Analysis →