Needham Market 4-2 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
32%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.7pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.02/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.54
+45% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.04.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 3-0 HT 2-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
01.01.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
4-2
AWAY AFC Sudbury
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market beat AFC Sudbury 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Needham Market had 54% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 46%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Needham Market and 0.50 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs AFC Sudbury?

Needham Market 4-2 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 60%, draw 24%, AFC Sudbury 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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