Ashton United 0-3 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.73/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.39
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
12.04.2025 Ashton United Ashton United 0-2 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
17.08.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-2 HT 1-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-3 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
0-3
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity swept aside Ashton United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gainsborough Trinity found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ashton United had 54% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 46%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ashton United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ashton United and 1.17 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Ashton United 0-3 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 38%, draw 25%, Gainsborough Trinity 37%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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