Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gainsborough Trinity v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Ashton United
İNGNLP
2-3
HT 1-0
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Ashton United edged past Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 56% of the ball to Ashton United's 44%, shots finished 7-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.50 for Ashton United.
What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United?
Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 42%, draw 26%, Ashton United 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.