Halesowen Town 1-4 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
55%
-14.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halesowen Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.81/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.95
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
POST-MATCH Halesowen Town vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town ran out comfortable winners over Halesowen Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Halesowen Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Halesowen Town vs Bedford Town?

Halesowen Town 1-4 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halesowen Town vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halesowen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Halesowen Town 41%, draw 30%, Bedford Town 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Halesowen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Halesowen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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