Basingstoke Town 2-0 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
2.07/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.68
+19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorchester Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
11.11.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town beat Dorchester Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basingstoke Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?

Basingstoke Town 2-0 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 41%, draw 29%, Dorchester Town 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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